Conservative Republican Geoff Diehl’s puzzling gubernatorial candidacy in deep blue Massachusetts is the longest of lengthy pictures but there could be a pathway to make the race extra aggressive.
Diehl is counting on an expected countrywide purple wave to spill about into the liberal Bay State, forging a race out of what most Democrats and other people are presently specific is a coronation for Legal professional Typical Maura Healey.
The previous state rep, carrying an endorsement from Donald Trump, needs to win around conservative Democrats and independents in intensely Democratic Massachusetts to have any prospect.
And it is been performed prior to. Voters right here never constantly adhere to the cookie-cutter script. Search at what transpired to dwelling condition most loved Elizabeth Warren in the 2020 Democratic key.
And right before that, from Scott Brown to Mitt Romney to Charlie Baker, Republicans have received statewide by cobbling with each other a coalition of disaffected Dems and right-leaning independents to stun the favored — and ordinarily overconfident — Democratic nominee.
What was it about Brown that propelled him to his gorgeous victory about Martha Coakley? Something was effervescent up in the Massachusetts electorate that no one predicted. And Romney — who was branded as conservative in his gubernatorial bid — managed to defeat Democrat Shannon O’Brien in spite of Romney’s ties to Utah.
But can Diehl actually discover the Republican magic sauce to acquire down Healey, who is in this sort of a commanding situation that not even yet another Democrat is keen to get her on?
Trump’s endorsement will help Diehl defeat his very little recognised GOP opponent, Chris Doughty, in the key but it could be a double-edged sword in the standard election — turning off Democrats who may be inclined to take a glance at Diehl.
But there are other elements that could weigh in Diehl’s favor as he seems to be the newest Republican to win a gubernatorial race.
Healey’s deficiency of a Democratic opponent could essentially be a detriment in the common election, leaving her with no momentum that profitable key candidates normally get.
Democrats, wanting at polls showing Healey clobbering Diehl in a common election matchup, could conveniently get arrogant and complacent again soon after a non-contested key. They’ve finished it prior to.
Healey has run a protected nevertheless lackluster campaign so much due to the fact she has no opponent. Can she rev up her supporters for an opponent she’s assumed to overwhelm?
Diehl is also latching himself on to the hard work to repeal the Democratic bill supplying drivers’ licenses to Massachusetts residents with no lawful standing.
And he’s also hooked up with Republicans who are hoping to give motorists a tax break on gasoline — an issue that could have resonance even in liberal Massachusetts.
Diehl is also counting on the temper of the place shifting absent from Democrats in the midterm elections. Even in San Francisco and Los Angeles, liberals have been upset this 12 months.